On the shut of the nomination interval for the Could 22 Palestinian Legislative Council, on midnight March 31, a complete of 36 completely different lists have been formally offered. The Central Elections Fee will evaluation the lists by April 6, permitting anybody to object to them by mid-April. Lists should adhere to a set of laws together with the necessity for public officers to have resigned beforehand and no criminally charged particular person can run for workplace.
The final day for submissions witnessed excessive drama as quite a few lists waited till the final minute to submit adjustments in names and rating. The most important drama that many really feel shall be a sport changer was the choice of the favored imprisoned Fatah chief Marwan Barghouti to scrap his personal motion’s official record and be part of forces with the not too long ago fired former Overseas Minister Nasser al-Qudwa. The record calling itself Freedom will nonetheless be headed by Qudwa, however the No. 2 on the record is Lawyer Fadwa Barghouti, the spouse of the imprisoned chief. No. 3 on the record is one other well-liked Fatah activist, Abdel Fatah Hamiel, who was a frontrunner within the first intifada.
The official Fatah record additionally produced surprises. Jibril Rajoub, Fatah’s secretary and the architect of the elections because of the understanding with Hamas’ Saleh al-Arouri is listed as No. 4. Deputy head of Fatah Mahmoud Alloul is No. 1 adopted by Suad Zalloum, the spouse of a Palestinian martyr from Hebron; then Ahmad Hilles, Fatah’s chief within the Gaza Strip; after which Rajoub. Three of the highest 10 candidates on the Fatah record are girls, and well-known businessman Munib al-Masri’s group that has been a robust advocate of reconciliation was additionally merged into the Fatah record. Rajoub was promoted by President Mahmoud Abbas to lieutenant-general earlier than being retired from his safety place, a requirement for all who run for the parliament.
Hamas, which had been speaking a few joint record with Fatah, didn’t obtain its purpose largely due to the sturdy opposition of its personal grassroots, in addition to that of Fatah. Hamas submitted a largely ideological record of its prime leaders headed by Khalil al-Haieh.
The professional-Dahlan record is headed by former Gazan Fatah chief Samir Masharawi with Jerusalem mental and former President of Al-Quds College Sari Nusseibeh because the No. 2 on the Future record.
A lady headed the united record of two left-wing factions. Fadwa Khader, a longtime leftist activist from Jerusalem, will head an inventory that mixed the Palestinian Folks’s Celebration and Palestinian Democratic Union Celebration (FIDA). Makes an attempt to have a wider unity of all left-wing factions failed.
The highest two individuals on the In style Entrance for the Liberation of Palestine record are in jail. Ahmad Saadat, who’s serving life imprisonment, is No. 1 and Khalida Jarrar, a former Palestinian parliamentarian held in administrative detention, is No. 2 on the Pulse of the Folks record.
Former Palestinian Prime Minister Salam Fayyad has offered an inventory additionally — Collectively We Can — with a Gazan dentist (at quantity two on this record) who has been the chief of an impartial effort to convey an finish to the division between Fatah and Hamas.
The remaining lists are made up of communal or tribal groupings that haven’t been recognized up to now for any political exercise or have their very own political program.
After the splits, Fatah nonetheless offered a optimistic face. Rajoub, who offered the Fatah record, stated that he’s assured that Fatah will win and that the elections will result in nationwide unity. Talking to Arab Information, Rajoub stated that he was assured the Could 22 legislative and July 31 presidential elections “would heal the rift between Fatah and Hamas.”
Rajoub defined Fatah’s technique to win on the polls, noting, “A profitable record should consider geography and the wrestle profile of these standing for workplace, whereas it’s also vital to have candidates overlaying all Palestinian communities. Individuals are not going to ask what you wish to do sooner or later, however they wish to know what sacrifices you made up to now.”
Al-Monitor’s supply within the Palestinian management conceded that the assist by Barghouti to the Nasser al-Qudwa record and the Dahlan record will minimize into the Fatah voters. The supply predicted that the central Fatah record will get 40-50 seats and that Hamas is not going to get greater than 30 seats out of the 132 member council.
Latest polls performed by the Palestinian Heart for Coverage and Survey Analysis (PSR) predict that Fatah will do higher than Hamas, however the early March ballot was performed earlier than the emergence of the Freedom record that’s supported by the favored Barghouti. Director of PSR Khalil Shikaki nonetheless believes that Barghouti would win outright towards any current candidate within the upcoming presidential elections.
Whereas it’s extremely unlikely that the legislative elections shall be canceled or postponed, it’s attainable that — relying on the outcomes of the legislative elections, and if there isn’t any settlement inside Fatah on a single candidate — the presidential ballot could be delayed.